Method and sources
Simple mean of the latest poll from each pollster/publisher pair with fieldwork in the last 14 days before the newest poll. Sub-threshold results count as 0 seats. Seats then scaled to 120 by largest remainder among parties averaging at least 3.9 seats. Unweighted by sample size. MEF calculation, unaudited.
Polls in the current average
| Pollster | Published by | Fieldwork end | n | Primary |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kantar | Israel Hayom | 2026-09-17 | 551 | link |
| Yossi Tatika | Zman Yisrael | 2026-09-17 | 500 | link |
| SF+ND | Channel 14 | 2026-09-15 | 483 | link |
| MP, M, SN, A | Channel 13 | 2026-09-15 | 886 | link |
| Kantar | Kan 11 | 2026-09-14 | link | |
| Midgam R&C | HaHadashot 12 | 2026-09-14 | link | |
| LRI+P4A | Maariv | 2026-09-10 | 601 | link |
| Lazar | Maariv | 2026-09-10 | 601 | link |
| Filber | Channel 14 | 2026-09-09 | 537 | link |
| Direct Polls | i24 News | 2026-09-09 | 1054 | link |
| LRI+P4A | Walla | 2026-09-09 | 506 | link |
| Lazar | Walla | 2026-09-09 | 506 | link |
| MP+TM+SN+A | Channel 13 | 2026-09-09 | 1119 | link |
| Maagar Mochot | Channel 16 | 2026-09-09 | link | |
| Midgam Project | Channel 13 | 2026-09-09 | 1119 | link |
| Filber, NEXT DATA | Channel 14 | 2026-09-07 | link |
Where the polls come from
Israeli seat projections are published by broadcasters and newspapers (Channel 12, Channel 13, Channel 14, Kan 11, Channel 16, Maariv, Israel Hayom, Walla, Zman Yisrael and others) from fieldwork by named polling firms (Midgam, Lazar, Kantar, Yossi Tatika, Filber, Direct Polls, Maagar Mochot, Midgam Project, TrendZone). MEF compiles them from the publishers' own reports, using a public index to catch every release, and links to the original publication on every row. Scenario polls (hypothetical mergers or leaders) are excluded from the average.
Reading the numbers
Israeli polls report seats, not vote shares, and a party under the 3.25 percent threshold is shown as a percentage. The average is unweighted: a 500-person Maariv sample and a 940-person Channel 13 sample count equally. House effects are visible in the pollster filter on the polls page; Channel 14's polls have run several seats above the field for the government bloc through 2026.
The Middle East Forum is an applied policy research organization founded in 1994. This page is a research product; MEF endorses no party or candidate. Corrections: info@meforum.org.